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NBA Finals preview: Knicks vs Spurs, the matchup breakdown

The matchup that decides it, where each team wins possessions, and what the numbers say about the series.

New York Knicks
San Antonio Spurs
NBA CHAMPIONSKnicks win 4-1

The New York Knicks are NBA champions. They beat San Antonio 4-1, closing it out on the road in Game 5, 94-90, for the franchise’s first title since 1973. Jalen Brunson took Finals MVP with 32.6 points a game and 45 in the clincher. They won it on defense, holding the Spurs to 102 a game after San Antonio had averaged 115.3 through the first three rounds.

Close the breakdown
Finals MVP
Jalen Brunson
Jalen Brunson
32.6 PPG · 4.2 REB · 4.6 AST · 53.6% TS

Brunson dropped 45 in the Game 5 clincher.

The Series Was Won on Defense
115.3
Spurs, rounds 1-3
102.0
vs the Knicks

New York held San Antonio 13.3 points below the offense that had rolled through the West.

The Series, Game by Game
Series Averages
Knicks
PlayerPPGREBASTTS%
Jalen Brunson32.64.24.653.6%
OG Anunoby21.24.81.071.4%
Karl-Anthony Towns13.010.62.459.4%
Mikal Bridges10.43.63.457%
Josh Hart7.69.84.651.2%
Landry Shamet6.82.01.043.6%
Jose Alvarado4.22.61.441.5%
Spurs
PlayerPPGREBASTTS%
Victor Wembanyama26.011.22.653.1%
Dylan Harper18.06.43.057.3%
Stephon Castle14.65.44.250.4%
De'Aaron Fox12.83.06.043%
Devin Vassell12.86.82.872.6%
Julian Champagnie11.05.41.859%
Keldon Johnson4.43.00.641.5%

1 · How They Got Here

Two very different routes. New York is 16-3 and has made it look easy, with a point differential (+14.9) that has no business being this high this deep into a run. San Antonio earned every inch of 13-10, taking OKC the full seven games to get out of the West.

Knicks
New York Knicks
16-3 this postseason, +14.9 a game
Round 1beat ATL 4-2
Conf. Semisswept PHI 4-0
Conf. Finalsswept CLE 4-0
NBA Finalsbeat SAS 4-1
NBA champions. Won the Finals 4-1.
Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
13-10 this postseason, +7.5 a game
Round 1beat POR 4-1
Conf. Semisbeat MIN 4-2
Conf. Finalsbeat OKC 4-3
NBA Finalslost to NYK 1-4
Fell in the Finals 1-4. A season to build on.
How they have played this postseason
NYKSAS
16-3Record13-10
115.8Points / game112.4
100.9Allowed / game104.9
+14.9Margin+7.5
48.9%FG%45.8%
39.1%3P%35.9%

Regular season, for the record: they finished with the same 118.7 offensive rating. San Antonio won 62 games to New York’s 53 and holds home court.

2 · At the Rim

New York lives inside. Over half its shots come in the paint, where the Knicks finish at a 65.7% clip. The trouble is who is waiting for them. San Antonio gave up just 55.7% at the rim this postseason, the best mark of any playoff team, because Wembanyama swallows everything near the basket. The flip side: New York’s own rim defense is the one soft number on its résumé, and the Spurs go inside too.

Knicks attack, Spurs wall
NYK shots in the paint49.2%
NYK finishing at the rim65.7%
SAS rim FG% allowed55.7%

The Spurs held opponents 10.0 points below the rate New York finishes at.

Spurs attack, Knicks wall
SAS shots in the paint49.1%
SAS finishing at the rim63.4%
NYK rim FG% allowed65.6%

New York keeps teams off the rim better than the box score shows, but gives up 65.6% to the ones who get there.

3 · The Turnover Game

Here is what the “slow team” label misses. New York grinds in the half court, but its defense is a turnover machine that flips the game into transition. The Knicks force 14.2 turnovers a game in the playoffs and turn them into 17.3 points off turnovers and 16 fastbreak points a night. San Antonio protected the ball all season (12.6 a game), but the number climbed under playoff pressure, all the way to 15.4 in the Conference Finals.

New York turns defense into offense
Turnovers forced / game14.2
Steals / game8.6
Points off turnovers / game17.3
Fastbreak points / game16.0

25th in pace, but among the most dangerous teams in the league once they take the ball away.

San Antonio’s turnover climb
12.6
Regular season
13.8
Playoffs
15.4
Conf. Finals
Who gives it away
Stephon Castle
Stephon Castle3.5/g · 5.6 per 100 touches
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama2.7/g · 5.9 per 100 touches
De'Aaron Fox
De'Aaron Fox2.0/g · 3.8 per 100 touches
The blueprint

When New York forced 22 San Antonio turnovers on Mar 1, it took 13 steals, scored 24 points off them, and won 11489. That is the template New York rode to the title.

4 · Towns and Wembanyama

This is where it gets decided. Towns has been ruthlessly efficient in the playoffs, 68.4% true shooting with a real bump in passing (4.9 assists a night, up from 2.9). Wembanyama is the best player in the series and it is not especially close: 23.8 points, 10.9 boards, 3.5 blocks. Whoever wins the floor wins the trophy.

Karl-Anthony Towns
Karl-Anthony Towns
NYK · 19 playoff games
SeasonPlayoffs
PPG19.515.9
REB11.510.6
AST2.94.9
BLK0.51.3
FG%50.1%55.1%
3P%36.8%45.6%
TS%61.9%68.4%
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
SAS · 22 playoff games
SeasonPlayoffs
PPG25.023.8
REB11.510.9
AST3.12.7
BLK3.13.5
FG%51.2%48.5%
3P%34.9%34.2%
TS%62.6%60.6%

5 · When They Last Met

They split two games in the regular season, and both feel like ancient history now. The more useful tape is who chased who. New York never gave Wembanyama a single matchup, throwing Towns, Hart, Robinson and Anunoby at him in shifts. San Antonio put Julian Champagnie on Brunson, then watched Champagnie go off for 36 at the other end.

Who chased Wembanyama
Karl-Anthony Towns
Karl-Anthony Towns
27.3 poss · 6 pts · 2/4 FG
Josh Hart
Josh Hart
23.1 poss · 4 pts · 2/9 FG
Mitchell Robinson
Mitchell Robinson
14.3 poss · 2 pts · 1/1 FG
OG Anunoby
OG Anunoby
12.1 poss · 0 pts · 0/3 FG
Who chased Brunson
Julian Champagnie
Julian Champagnie
46.0 poss · 9 pts · 3/6 FG
Harrison Barnes
Harrison Barnes
25.1 poss · 2 pts · 1/2 FG
Stephon Castle
Stephon Castle
13.7 poss · 2 pts · 1/4 FG
De'Aaron Fox
De'Aaron Fox
12.6 poss · 0 pts · 0/3 FG

6 · How They Won It

Why New York
  • Nobody scored on them. 100.9 allowed is the best number in the bracket.
  • A defense that forces 14.2 turnovers a game and runs them back the other way.
  • Towns at 68.4% true shooting and Brunson setting the tempo they like.
Why San Antonio
  • Wembanyama. He changes every shot New York wants to take.
  • Home court and the deeper, younger bench.
  • They just walked out of a Game 7. Nothing here will rattle them.

It is done. For the first time since 1973, the New York Knicks are NBA champions. They won it the unglamorous way, on defense, holding the best offense left in the bracket to 102.0 a game and winning 3 times in San Antonio. Jalen Brunson carried the offense to a Finals MVP (32.6 a night), capped by 45 in the closeout, and a deep, two-way roster did the rest. Give San Antonio its due: Wembanyama was magnificent, and the Spurs will be back. But this June belonged to New York. Fifty-three years of waiting, over. Relive it on the Knicks and Spurs pages.

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